Terrorism and its effect on tourism
A USA Today story confirms the obvious, people are worried about traveling to Europe in the wake of attacks in Paris and Belgium and fears more could be on the way in other big European cities like London. So far this year, travel to Europe is down 13 percent over last year.
From the USA Today story:
“There’s definitely a shift going on,” said Patrick Surry, the chief data scientist for the travel-data firm Hopper. “It feels like that’s been the trend since the Paris attacks, and now you’ve got an attack directly on an airport."
Hopper’s data shows that searches by travelers considering Europe are down 13% so far this year, compared to the same period last year. Surry said searches for travel to South America and Asia, including Japan, Columbia and India, have increased during the same period. Overall, worldwide travel searches and bookings have remained stable. People are still traveling, but are avoiding Europe, he said
But despite the fears, travelers always seem to flock back. From Fox News:
According to a study from the World Travel and Tourism Council, it takes about 13 months for tourism to recover from a terrorist attack. The London-based industry trade group also found that by comparison, tourism takes longer to bounce back from disease (21 months), an environmental disaster (24 months), and political unrest (27 months).
This is because events like a natural disaster often requires the rebuilding of infrastructure—a time-consuming endeavor. For example, according to the group's figures, it took Thailand 14 months to recover from the 2004 tsunami, Haiti 22 months from its earthquake and Japan 21 months from its earthquake.
Of the four crises categories studied, terrorist incidents had the lowest impact in terms of both total lost arrivals and recovery time.