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A look at storm chances

The Hazardous Weather Outlook from the National Weather Service, Norman Forecast Office:

Thunderstorm outlook, isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday across western north Texas and the southern half of Oklahoma.

Storm chances will continue Thursday near and east of Interstate-35.

A few storms may approach severe levels…with large hail and damaging winds…over southeastern parts of Oklahoma Thursday afternoon and evening.

Other hazardous weather… very high to extreme wildfire dangers are expected on Thursday across the western half of Oklahoma and all of western north Texas.

Strong winds are expected both Wednesday and Thursday. The winds on Wednesday are expected to be southerly and the stronger of the two days. Winds on Thursday will begin from the south and southwest…shifting to the north during the afternoon and evening as a cold front passes over the region.

The Hazardous Weather Outlook from the National Weather Service, Tulsa Forecast Office:

Days two through seven…Wednesday through Monday.

Wednesday…Very high fire weather potential…high wind potential. Thursday…Severe thunderstorm potential…very high fire weather            potential…High wind potential.

Friday…Thunderstorm potential.

Saturday…No hazards.

Sunday…Very high fire weather potential…high wind potential.

Monday…High wind potential.

Extended discussion… southerly winds will increase Wednesday morning…leading to some fire danger early in the day. The overall fire danger Wednesday will be tempered somewhat during the afternoon as rain is expected to overspread the area. Strong south winds will continue Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front…with a shift to westerly and finally northwesterly winds behind the front into the late afternoon and evening. Fire danger will be very high across portions of eastern Oklahoma Thursday afternoon as dry air filters in with the shift to westerly winds.

Increasing moisture ahead of the front across far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas Thursday afternoon will increase thunderstorm chances during the evening. With sufficient instability and wind shear in place…a few storms may be severe both ahead of and along the front.

Above normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected by the weekend…with a corresponding increase in the fire danger by Sunday as surface winds strengthen. contains additional information.

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Bryan Painter

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