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About Wednesday's possible winter weather...

Following is the “Area Forecast Discussion” of the National Weather Service, Norman Forecast Office (as of 3:51 p.m. Monday):

“Discussion… Full sunshine has pushed temperatures up to only about 35 to 40 degrees below the seasonal average this afternoon. We expect increasing cloud cover overnight…which should help prevent temperatures from plunging into the single digits/subzero category tonight over most of our forecast area.

“The exception will be the eastern part…where cloud cover will likely take longer to thicken…and where there is more snow/ice on the ground. Cannot rule out some fog/very low clouds tomorrow morning…especially in the northeast around Ponca City.

“The next excitement comes on Wednesday morning. If temperatures are in fact below freezing that morning…I see no reason that the precipitation will be anything other than freezing rain. However…fairly strong warming begins tomorrow…and continues into the latter half of the week…so temperatures should rise above freezing within a few hours after precipitation begins. This should keep ice accumulations low…and…we hope…fairly quickly melt any that does accumulate.

“Another storm system is forecast to arrive this weekend. This will bring mild and breezy conditions to the region Friday…followed by another drop in temperatures on Saturday and Sunday. This time…the forecast temperature profiles suggest snow or rain…without much hint of sleet or freezing rain. Naturally…given how far out this system is…there is much that can change between now and then.”

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Bryan Painter

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