And you thought the BCS was hard to predict
The unopened package has been on my desk for a couple weeks now.
I don’t need to open it to know what’s inside. Any time I get something in December with the return address of Deloitte and Touche Certified Public Accountants, I know that my Heisman Trophy ballot has arrived.
I have yet to open it because, frankly, I haven’t felt ready to vote. Not even close really.
I’m not alone either. I’ve been in contact with numerous Heisman voters this week, and most of them have yet to cast their ballots. They are waiting until after this weekend. They are waiting to see what happens in the SEC and Big 12 championship games. They are waiting to take one last look at Tim Tebow and Sam Bradford.
Know what that tells me?
This could be one of the closest Heisman races ever.
The closest vote to date came in 1985. Bo Jackson edged out Chuck Long by only 45 points. I don’t know if we’ll ever see another vote that’s that close, but this one has the potential to be tight.
That’s because it’s really coming down to three guys. Bradford, Tebow and Colt McCoy are the clear-cut front-runners. A couple other guys may get a smattering of votes — Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree among them — but Bradford, McCoy and Tebow are sure to get the lion’s share.
The way the balloting works, each voter has a chance to put three names on the ballot. The No. 1 player receives three points, the No. 2 player receives two and the No. 3 player receives one.
The same three guys are sure to be on almost every ballot. Bradford, McCoy and Tebow are all bound to rack up some serious points.
All three have had phenomenal years, and you could make a Heisman-worthy argument for each of them. That means that whoever wins might only claim victory by 100 points or so. Heck, the winner and third place might only be separated by a couple hundred points. Most years, that would be a close race.
What Bradford and Tebow do this weekend could have a huge impact on the Heisman. Big days. Bad days. Whatever happens, Heisman voters will be watching.
Ballots are due Dec. 10, then the award ceremony is on Dec. 13.